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The Great Inflation, The Great Disinflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability
The Great Inflation The Great Disinflation
2015/8/4
The Great Inflation, The Great Disinflation, and Policies for Future Price Stability.
Comment on ‘America’s Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s’ by J. Bradford De Long
Inflation Peacetime
2015/8/4
Comment on ‘America’s Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s’ by J. Bradford De Long.
Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Rules: Experience and Research
Inflation Monetary Policy
2015/8/4
Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Rules: Experience and Research.
Comments on ‘Three Lessons for Monetary Policy in a Low Inflation Era’ by David Reifschneider and John Williams,’
Three Lessons Monetary Policy
2015/8/4
This paper by David Reifschneider and John Williams is a useful and innovative
analysis of monetary policy problems caused by the lower bound of zero on the nominal
interest rate. The authors provid...
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market:Real Rates,Inflation,and Liquidity
Expectations Hypothesis Term Structure Real Interest Rate Risk Inflation Risk Inflation-Indexed Bonds
2015/4/24
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. ...
Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds
Inflation and Deflation Bonds Interest Rates Investment Return Risk Management United States
2015/4/23
The covariance between U.S. Treasury bond returns and stock returns has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the ea...
Crisis and Commitment: Inflation Credibility and the Vulnerability to Sovereign Debt Crises
Crisis and Commitment Inflation Credibility the Vulnerability Sovereign Debt Crises
2014/3/12
We propose a continuous time model of nominal debt and investigate the role of inflation credibility in the potential for self-fulfilling debt crises. Inflation is costly, but reduces the real value o...
This study empirically compares, for the first time, the popular exchange-rate-targeting regime with the recently emerged inflation-targeting framework in developing countries. Applying a variety of p...
Inflation and unemployment in Switzerland: from 1970 to 2050
inflation unemployment labour force forecasting Switzerland
2011/3/23
An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in Switzerland. The involved variables are found to be cointegrated and we estimate l...
The past five decades have seen tremendous changes in inflation dynamics in the United States. Some of the changes arguably stem from transformations in the U.S. economy. Energy is a smaller share of ...
The evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan has been modeled. Both variables were represented as linear functions of the change rate of labor force, dLF/LF. These models provid...
Unemployment and inflation in Western Europe: solution by the boundary element method
unemployment inflation labor force boundary integral method prediction Western Europe
2010/10/29
Using an analog of the boundary element method in engineering and science, we analyze and model
unemployment rate in Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a f...
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH INTO DOMESTIC INFLATION IN ASIAN ECONOMIES
ASIAN ECONOMIES EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH
2008/6/5
This paper explores the patterns of exchange rate pass-through (EPT) into domestic inflation in the East Asia economies. In our empirical analysis framework, we emphasized the role of inflation enviro...
U.S. Core Inflation: A Wavelet Analysis
core inflation wavelets trend inflation inflation prediction
2011/3/31
This paper proposes the use of wavelet methods to estimate U.S. core inflation. It explains wavelet methods and suggests they are ideally suited to this task. Comparisons are made with traditional CPI...
Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
Forecasting Output Inflation Asset Prices
2014/3/18
Because asset prices are forward-looking, they constitute a class of potentially use-ful predictors of inflation and output growth. The premise that interest rates and asset prices contain usefu...