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Thank you for inviting me to give this keynote address. In my remarks at the policy panel earlier today (“The 2002 Uruguayan Financial Crisis Five Years Later”) I spoke about the details of the Urug...
Thank you for inviting me to Montevideo today. It is a pleasure to be here to participate in this five-year anniversary of the resolution of the financial crisis of 2002, and the remarkable recovery...
Dr. Christian Ketels helped prepare this competitiveness presentation which was delivered during the 2010 Global Investment Conference in London, UK.
We propose a continuous time model of nominal debt and investigate the role of inflation credibility in the potential for self-fulfilling debt crises. Inflation is costly, but reduces the real value o...
The financial crisis of 2007-9 has sparked keen interest in models of financial frictions and their impact on macro activity. Most models share the feature that borrowers suffer a co...
We provide direct evidence of market manipulation at the beginning of the nancial crisis in November 2007. The type of market manipulation, a \bear raid," would have been prevented by a regulation th...
In the present work we propose an original analytical model of coopetitive game. We try to apply this analytical model of coopetition - based on game theory and conceived at a macro level - to the G...
The Idea of Crisis     Crisis       2014/4/21
City University London has developed City Research Online so that its users may access the research outputs of City University London's staff. Copyright © and Moral Rights for this paper are re...
During the peak of the financial crisis in late 2008, the Economist began one of its article sections by inviting readers to view ‘Smoot-Hawley in the rear mirror’ (The Economist, 2008)....
I use daily data on self-reported well-being (SWB) to examine how the Great Recession affected the emotional and evaluative lives of the population. In the fall of 2008 and lasting into the spring of ...
The past five decades have seen tremendous changes in inflation dynamics in the United States. Some of the changes arguably stem from transformations in the U.S. economy. Energy is a smaller share of ...
The origin of economic crises is a key problem for economics. We present a model of long-run competitive markets to show that the multiplicity of behaviors in an economic system, over a long time scal...
The main points of the first section of the article written by S.I. Chernyshov, A.V. Voronin and S.A. Razumovsky arXiv:1003.4382), which deals with the fundamental bases of the macroeconomic theory, h...
In this work, the time chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index is analyzed and approach of recession time term is predicted, which may be hallmark of a worldwide economic crisis. However, ...

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